Endnotes 1. UK Government Of昀椀ce for Science, “The Futures Toolkit: Tools for Futures Thinking and Foresight across UK Government”, November 2017, https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/ system/uploads/attachment_data/昀椀le/674209/futures-toolkit-edition-1.pdf 2. Courtney, Hugh, Jane Kirkland and Patrick Viguerie, “Strategy Under Uncertainty”, Harvard Business Review, 1997, https://hbr.org/1997/11/strategy-under-uncertainty. 3. Foroohar, Rana, “Wanted: a resiliency tsar for the US government”, Financial Times, 23 May 2021, https://www.ft.com/content/add77982-a162-4a29-a588-47c5cf121b28; Wilson, Colin, “Should the UK have a Chief Risk Of昀椀cer?”, UK Government blog, 20 April 2022, https://actuaries.blog.gov. uk/2022/04/20/should-the-uk-have-a-chief-risk-of昀椀cer/. 4. Esvelt, K., "Delay, Detect, Defend: Preparing for a Future in which Thousands Can Release New Pandemic”, Geneva Centre for Security Policy (GCSP), November 2022, https://dam.gcsp.ch/昀椀les/doc/ gcsp-geneva-paper-29-22. 5. Avin, Shahar, Bonnie C. Wintle, Julius Weitzdörfer, Seán S. Ó hÉigeartaigh, William J. Sutherland and Martin J. Rees, “Classifying global catastrophic risks”, Futures, vol. 102, 2018, pp. 20-26. 6. U.S. Senate Committee on Homeland Security & Governmental Affairs, Peters Introduces Bipartisan Bill to Ensure Federal Government is Prepared for Catastrophic Risks [Press release], 30 June 2022, https://www.hsgac.senate.gov/media/majority-media/peters-introduces-bipartisan-bill-to-ensure-federal- government-is-prepared-for-catastrophic-risks-#:~:text=The%20Global%20Catastrophic%20Risk%20M- itigation,plans%20for%20the%20risks%20identi昀椀ed. 7. UK Government Cabinet Of昀椀ce, "The UK Government Resilience Framework", 19 December 2022, https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-uk-government-resilience-framework/the-uk- government-resilience-framework-html. 8. Smith-Bingham, Richard, "Partnering with Purpose," Marsh McLennan, November 2021, https://www. marshmclennan.com/content/dam/mmc-web/insights/publications/2021/november/Marsh_McLennan- National_Preparedness_Commission_Partnering-with-Purpose_vF.pdf. 9. LaMorte, Dylan and Joshua Gold, “Insurance Companies Move to Expand Scope of War Exclusions”, Risk Management Magazine, 23 November 2022, https://www.rmmagazine.com/articles/ article/2022/11/23/insurers-move-to-expand-scope-of-war-exclusions. 10. Kaplan, Robert S. and Annette Mikes, “Managing Risks: A New Framework”, Harvard Business Review, June 2012. 11. Heal, Alexandra, “The ancient subarctic forests at risk from climate change and war”, Financial Times, 11 September 2022, https://www.ft.com/content/e59c800f-3704-4504-91b0-06e583d9cd42?desktop=tru e&segmentId=7c8f09b9-9b61-4fbb-9430-9208a9e233c8#myft:noti昀椀cation:daily-email:content. Global Risks Report 2023 73